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What are raw materials and what is their value for an investor

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What are raw materials? It’s not just grain, oil, or copper. It’s the pulse of global economic processes. Every bag of coffee, ton of coal, or barrel of oil lays the foundation for national GDPs, company budgets, and institutional investors’ decisions. Raw materials create the infrastructure of global commodity circulation, set trends for markets, and shape investment horizons.

What are raw materials: categories

These are basic resources that underpin the global economy. They are actively traded on exchanges and are divided into four main categories:

  1. Energy resources. Include oil (Brent, WTI), gas, coal, uranium. In 2023, oil covered 33% of global energy consumption. Brent serves as a benchmark in 60% of contracts. Prices influence inflation and the currencies of exporting countries.
  2. Metals. Divided into industrial (copper, nickel, aluminum) and precious (gold, silver, platinum). Copper is an economic growth indicator. Gold is a protective asset in crises: demand for it increases by up to 15% when the stock market falls.
  3. Agricultural products and livestock. Key positions include wheat, soybeans, corn, cotton, livestock. Soybean export leaders are the USA, Brazil, Argentina (80% of the market). Livestock futures are used for hedging.
  4. Financial derivatives on commodities. These are contracts, ETFs, options, and futures. The volume of transactions on CME exceeded $35 trillion in 2023. They allow earning on price movements without physical delivery of goods.

Raw materials are not just resources but tools for managing risks and capital on a global scale.

How raw materials work on exchanges

Every commodity transaction takes place on specialized platforms. The London Metal Exchange (LME), the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), ICE, and CME provide liquidity, transparency, and market price.

Pricing

Prices are formed in real-time. Price is influenced by the supply/demand ratio, political risks, weather conditions, and the dynamics of the dollar. For example, a drought in Brazil can instantly raise the price of coffee by 18%.

Market participants

Traders, institutional investors, hedge funds, producers, and processors. Each uses the market in their own way: some hedge, some speculate. For example, agricultural companies fix the crop price six months before harvest by entering into futures contracts.

Trading in commodities requires high liquidity, understanding of volatility, and constant analysis. This is the only way to predict fluctuations and manage risks.

Investing in raw materials

Financial flows are directed to the commodity market for a reason. Investments in commodity assets allow:

  1. Diversify the portfolio. In 2008, when the stock market collapsed by 37%, the commodity index only decreased by 14%.
  2. Protect assets from inflation. Gold grew by 41% from 2019 to 2022 when US inflation reached 8.6%.
  3. Access global trends. The rise of electric vehicles increases demand for lithium, cobalt, and copper.

The benefits of investing became particularly noticeable against the backdrop of geopolitical crises. Gas prices in Europe tripled after 2022, making energy resources highly profitable assets.

How traders use commodity market analysis

Using multiple types of analytics allows predicting price movements with up to 85% accuracy. The analysis includes:

  1. Fundamental analysis. Evaluates macroeconomics, crop yields, geopolitics, currency exchange rates. For example, a USDA report on grain stocks can change global wheat prices by 7–10% within a day.
  2. Technical analysis. Applies charts, indicators, and trend models. Most traders use moving averages, RSI, Bollinger Bands. This helps identify entry and exit levels.
  3. Seasonal analysis. Makes forecasts based on historical cycles. For example, gas prices traditionally rise in November–January when the heating season begins in the Northern Hemisphere.

What are raw materials in the eyes of a trader? It’s a constantly changing mosaic where it’s important to quickly read signals and make decisions.

Factors influencing prices

Commodity prices move under the influence of many variables. The main triggers are:

  1. Demand and supply. The balance between production and consumption volumes sets the trajectory. For example, in 2020, the pandemic reduced oil demand by 30%, causing prices to plummet to $18 per barrel. In 2021, on the contrary, a sharp recovery in demand pushed Brent above $70.
  2. Geopolitics and climate. Military conflicts, sanctions, regime changes — each of these factors can reshape the market structure. Climate conditions also directly affect yields and production: droughts, floods, frosts regularly create local shortages.
  3. Currency exchange rates. Since most commodity trading is conducted in dollars, fluctuations in currency pairs like USD/EUR, USD/CNY, and others have a significant impact. Strengthening of the dollar reduces the attractiveness of commodities for importing countries, restraining price growth.

Each of these factors can sharply change price dynamics, even under stable market conditions. Understanding the relationships between them allows for more accurate forecasting of commodity asset movements.

Commodity markets and their structure: from farmers to ETFs

Modern commodity markets function as high-tech ecosystems. Each player performs their function:

  1. Producers supply physical raw materials: mines, farms, agroholdings.
  2. Processors purchase resources for industrial needs.
  3. Financial intermediaries and exchanges provide access to trading.
  4. Institutional investors add liquidity through funds and derivative instruments.

In 2023, the capitalization of the largest commodity ETFs exceeded $420 billion. Funds like the Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund allow investing in a basket of resources: oil, gas, copper, wheat, and gold — in one package.

Trading in commodities on these platforms represents a powerful financial mechanism. It connects the interests of farmers in Iowa with investment portfolios in London.

What an investor should consider

Investing in commodities is accompanied by both potential profitability and risks. Below is a detailed list of the main characteristics:

  1. Profitability. The average annual return of commodity ETFs is 7–12%, with jumps of up to 30% in six months under favorable market conditions.
  2. Risk. High volatility: for example, the price of nickel on LME in March 2022 increased by 250% in two days due to supply shortages.
  3. Liquidity. The highest liquidity is observed in oil, gold, and wheat — daily turnovers exceed $100 billion.
  4. Regulation. Strict control by exchanges and financial commissions reduces manipulation risks but requires compliance with strict rules.
  5. Entry barriers. Modern platforms lower the threshold to $50–$100, allowing private investors access to the market.

Risk analysis is a necessary step before entering the market. Without assessing volatility, seasonality, and geopolitical background, it is impossible to form a sustainable strategy.

Why it’s worth learning about raw materials now

The world is entering an era of deficits: water, grain, rare earth metals. Every climate change, sanction, global conflict increases the value of resources. Therefore, understanding what raw materials are is not just knowledge — it’s a decision-making tool.

The electrification of transport requires lithium, nickel, and copper. Agricultural crises make food resources new growth points. Oil and gas, despite the green agenda, will remain systemically important at least until 2040 according to the IEA forecast.

Conclusion

What are raw materials for an investor? It’s not a short-term trend but the foundation of a long-term strategy. The market requires analytics, understanding of cycles, and precise asset selection. Successful investments in this segment are based on statistics, seasonality, fundamental reports, and smart diversification.

An investor who can assess the value of raw materials and build a strategy based on it not only gains profit but also gains an instrument of influence.

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When it comes to financial well-being, many imagine saving for a “rainy day” or buying shares of well-known companies. However, the foundation of sustainable and profitable investments lies not in predicting trends, but in properly structuring capital. That is why the key question for any investor is why to allocate assets.

Diversification is not a trendy term from investment slang, but a fundamental strategy on which the stability and effectiveness of a case directly depend. Structuring reduces risk, increases profitability in the long run, and helps maintain focus on the main goal — capital growth considering individual objectives.

Understanding Structure: What Is Capital Allocation?

Financial instrument allocation is a strategy where an investment portfolio is built based on several asset classes — such as bonds, stocks, real estate, gold, and currency. Each investment object has its own level of profitability and risk profile, meaning their market behavior will differ.

The essence of the strategy is to balance the portfolio in such a way that the declines in some investments are offset by the growth of others. As a result, you are not dependent on a single asset and reduce the likelihood of sharp losses during market fluctuations.

Why Allocate Assets: Protection from Uncertainty

The financial market is not a linear growth but a series of cycles, crises, and recovery phases. Investing in a single set means betting on its unconditional success. However, the market does not provide such guarantees.

That is why it is important to understand why asset allocation is necessary. This strategy allows you to maintain stability and manageability of the portfolio even during turbulent periods. Instead of trying to predict what will happen tomorrow, you are creating a structure capable of withstanding any market changes.

Primary Asset Classes and Their Functions

For the strategy to work, it is important to understand the available options and the problems they solve. All instruments are divided into classes — with different levels of profitability, risks, and impact on the portfolio as a whole. The main categories used in building an investment strategy are:

  • stocks — assets with high profit potential and increased risk level;
  • bonds — classes with fixed income and lower volatility;
  • currency — used for inflation protection and risk reduction;
  • gold and precious metals — a “defensive” class, especially in unstable periods;
  • real estate and REITs — options with stable income, often not correlated with the stock market.

Understanding the purpose of each class allows you to properly structure an investment strategy and manage expectations from investments. This helps understand why asset allocation is important and how diversification affects the stability of the case in different market periods.

Diversification and Portfolio Management: How Are They Related to Investments?

Diversification of investments is often perceived as buying multiple stocks. However, risk diversification involves smartly allocating funds among classes with different reactions to market events.

True asset balancing is when you have instruments that behave differently in growth, decline, or stagnation conditions. This way, the risk of losing the entire capital simultaneously becomes minimal.

Asset Allocation for Beginners: Where to Start?

For a novice, choosing a strategy in the midst of information noise is challenging. One advises only bonds, another to invest all capital in cryptocurrency. In such a situation, a basic structuring strategy becomes an optimal start: it does not overload the portfolio but protects against losses. To understand why asset allocation is necessary, it is important to realize that diversification is not about complexity but about risk control from the very first steps.

Remember, investing is not a one-time operation but a continuous process. Reviewing shares, reacting to goals, and changes in the investor’s life — all affect the proportions of the case.

Asset Allocation by Investor Age: Lifecycle Strategy

There is a universal approach where the share of risky investments decreases with age, and reliable ones increase. It is related to the investment horizon: a young investor can afford to take risks, while closer to retirement — to protect capital. According to the lifecycle strategy, the shares change as follows:

  • up to 30 years — maximum stocks, minimum bonds (growth is more important than stability);
  • 30–45 years — increased share of bonds, introduction of gold, dividend securities;
  • 45–60 years — focus on preservation, risk reduction, increase in protective units;
  • 60+ — capital protection, transition to options with minimal volatility.

This approach helps maintain a balance between profitability and stability in each life period.

Portfolio Organization Mistakes: What Can Go Wrong?

The most common mistake is an overemphasis on a single class. For example, all in stocks because “they offer more.” Or all in bonds due to fear of losses. Such an approach deprives the case of flexibility and makes it vulnerable to market fluctuations.

Another mistake is the lack of a goal. Without understanding why asset allocation is needed, it is impossible to build a strategy. Diversification should correspond to a specific financial objective: a house, retirement, education, passive income.

Managing a Portfolio After Allocation: Systematic Approach

Even perfect structuring becomes outdated over time. Exchange instruments grow unevenly, goals may change. Therefore, regular reassessment of the structure is important — every six months or with significant life changes. To keep the case effective, follow several principles:

  • conduct regular rebalancing — adjust class shares;
  • monitor news but do not act impulsively;
  • consider inflation and real income from investments;
  • compare profitability with benchmarks — indexes and benchmark portfolios;
  • do not forget about commissions — they can eat up a significant portion of profits.

A systematic approach helps maintain the effectiveness of an investment strategy even with changing market conditions.

Why Allocate Assets: Investing with a Clear Head

In summary, the answer to why asset allocation is necessary is obvious: to avoid dependence on a single option, protect capital from market shocks, and direct it towards a specific financial goal.

Investing is not a guessing game or a chase for maximum profitability, but a system where each element performs its function. Approaching structuring consciously will result not only in income growth but also in peace of mind.

The financial market is constantly changing, and finding reliable investment instruments becomes an important task for investors. Bonds are a proven way to preserve and grow capital due to their predictability and stability. Unlike stocks, debt instruments provide a fixed income, making them a popular choice among those who prefer to minimize risks.

To effectively invest, it is necessary to understand how bond investment strategies work, what risk management methods exist, and how to choose suitable securities. A sound approach not only protects funds but also generates stable income in any economic situation.

### Why Bonds Are a Reliable Investment Instrument

Investing in bonds has always been considered the foundation of a conservative portfolio. Their stability is explained by predictable returns and low volatility compared to stocks. Unlike stocks, these securities provide a fixed income in the form of coupon payments. Bond issuers include governments, municipal entities, or corporations in need of capital to finance their activities.

**There are several types of bonds:**

1. **Government Bonds (OFZ)** – issued by the Ministry of Finance and backed by the country’s budget.
2. **Municipal Bonds** – intended for financing regional projects.
3. **Corporate Bonds** – issued by companies to raise funds for business development.

Fixed income allows for income forecasting, and maturity dates determine the bond investment strategy. Investors often use them as protection against market risks or as a capital preservation tool. It is important to consider the risks of trading investments and compare them with the conservatism of bonds.

### How to Choose Bonds for Investments: Step-by-Step Approach to Choosing a Strategy

Selecting securities requires careful analysis of several key parameters. Neglecting these factors can lead to low profitability or financial losses. Understanding duration, yield, and issuer credit quality helps build a reliable portfolio.

**Key criteria:**

1. **Duration** – the period until bond maturity. Short-term bonds (up to 3 years) are suitable for conservative strategies. Long-term bonds (over 10 years) provide higher returns but also carry higher interest rate risks.
2. **Bond Yield** – includes coupon payments and the difference between the purchase price and face value. Nominal yield (fixed rate) and real yield (adjusted for inflation) are distinguished.
3. **Issuer Reliability** – reflects the likelihood of default. A high issuer credit rating (AAA or AA) indicates low risks.
4. **Interest Rates** – rising rates reduce bond prices, while falling rates increase them. Therefore, it is necessary to consider the current central bank rate when choosing bonds.

### Examples of Bonds for Different Strategies

Investors can use bonds with different durations for diversification and risk management:

1. **Short-term** (up to 3 years) – suitable for capital preservation.
2. **Medium-term** (3-7 years) – a balance between risk and return.
3. **Long-term** (over 10 years) – for aggressive strategies aiming to maximize returns.

Bond investment strategies are built on a combination of these parameters to achieve financial goals.

### Working Bond Investment Strategies

Effective approaches allow investors to earn steadily and minimize risks. Each tactic is suitable for specific goals and investment horizons.

**Bond Ladder Strategy**

The bond ladder strategy involves buying bonds with different maturity dates. Investors allocate investments to bonds with terms ranging from 1 year to 10 years. As short-term bonds mature, funds are reinvested in new issuances.

**Advantages:**

– Reducing interest rate risk.
– Providing a constant income stream.
– Portfolio flexibility and liquidity.

**Barbell Strategy**

The barbell strategy involves investing in short-term and long-term bonds, avoiding the medium-term segment. Short-term bonds provide liquidity, while long-term bonds offer maximum returns.

**Features:**

– Protection against rate changes.
– Balancing risk and return.

**Bullet Strategy**

The bullet strategy focuses on bonds with the same maturity date. Investors purchase bonds with a duration matching their investment horizon.

**Application:**

– Maximizing returns by a specific date.
– Portfolio management simplicity.

### How to Reduce Risks When Investing in Bonds

Even with low price volatility, securities carry potential losses.

**Risk mitigation methods:**

– **Portfolio Diversification** – allocating investments among different types of bonds (government, municipal, corporate).
– **Issuer Credit Quality Analysis** – selecting securities with high ratings (AAA, AA).
– **Portfolio Rebalancing** – regularly updating the bond composition in line with market changes.
– **Duration Management** – combining short-term and long-term securities to reduce sensitivity to interest rate changes.

These methods enable the use of bond investment strategies with maximum efficiency and minimal risks.

### Conclusion

Bond investment strategies provide an opportunity to earn stable income and protect capital from market upheavals. Using ladder methodology, barbell, or bullet strategies helps adapt to changing conditions and reduce risks.

Choosing bonds requires analysis of duration, yield, and issuer reliability. Risk reduction is achieved through diversification, portfolio management, and regular rebalancing. This approach makes bond investments a reliable instrument for investors of any level of expertise.